BIBLIO is the largest independent book marketplace in the world, with over 100 million books.

Skip to content

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science Hardback - 2021

by Aubrey Clayton

Add to wish list

Reader reviews for Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

Write a review for this book

There are no reviews for this book yet. Be the first to write a review!

Your review will be anonymous unless you login or create an account first.

Overall rating
Remember: You’re rating the book as a work, not the seller or the condition of the specific copy you purchased!

Important Terms and Guidelines

  • Please focus on the book’s content and context. Also, add any personal comments as to how you enjoyed the book. Substantiate your likes and dislikes. You may make comparisons to other books.
  • Reviews must be at least 140 characters in length.
  • Please do not reveal critical plot elements.
  • This is not a help line. Contact customer support if you need help.
Your review must not include:
  • Obscenities, discriminatory language, or other insulting language not suitable for public domain
  • Advertisements, “spam” content, or references to other products, offers or websites.
  • Email addresses, URLs, phone numbers, physical addresses or other contact information.
  • Overly critical comments about other reviews or reviewers
  • Time-sensitive material (i.e. promotional tours, seminars, lectures, etc.)
  • Availability, price, or alternative ordering/shipping information

From the publisher

There is a logical flaw in the statistical methods used across experimental science. This fault is not a minor academic quibble: it underlies a reproducibility crisis now threatening entire disciplines. In an increasingly statistics-reliant society, this same deeply rooted error shapes decisions in medicine, law, and public policy with profound consequences. The foundation of the problem is a misunderstanding of probability and its role in making inferences from observations.

Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it. He highlights how influential nineteenth- and twentieth-century figures developed a statistical methodology they claimed was purely objective in order to silence critics of their political agendas, including eugenics.

Clayton provides a clear account of the mathematics and logic of probability, conveying complex concepts accessibly for readers interested in the statistical methods that frame our understanding of the world. He contends that we need to take a Bayesian approach--that is, to incorporate prior knowledge when reasoning with incomplete information--in order to resolve the crisis. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli's Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data--and how to fix it.

Details

  • Title Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
  • Author Aubrey Clayton
  • Binding Hardback
  • Pages 368
  • Volumes 1
  • Language ENG
  • Publisher Columbia University Press
  • Publication date 2021-08-03
  • Features Bibliography, Index
  • ISBN 9780231199940 / 0231199945
  • Weight 1.5 lbs (0.68 kg)
  • Dimensions 9.29 x 6.14 x 1.18 in (23.60 x 15.60 x 3.00 cm)
  • Category Mathematics
  • Library of Congress subjects Law of large numbers, Mathematical statistics - Philosophy
  • Library of Congress Catalogue Number 2021004250
  • Dewey Decimal Code 519.2

Media reviews

Citations

  • Choice, 02/01/2022, Page 0

About the author

Aubrey Clayton is a mathematician who teaches the philosophy of probability and statistics at the Harvard Extension School. He holds a PhD from the University of California, Berkeley, and his writing has appeared in the New York Times, Nautilus, and the Boston Globe.
Back to top↑

More Copies for Sale

Show all copies
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
  • Very good
  • first
Condition
Very good
Edition
1
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
BooksRun
Item price
A$28.38
Free Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Columbia University Press. 1. Very Good. With dust jacket. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$28.38
Free Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
  • Hardback
  • first
Condition
Used
Edition
1
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
Ergodebooks
Item price
A$32.07
Free Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Columbia University Press, 2021-08-03. 1. hardcover. Used: Good. 6.25x1.25x9.25. Buy with confidence. Excellent Customer Service & Return policy.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$32.07
Free Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
  • Good
  • Hardback
Condition
Good
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
Ausvora INC
Item price
A$34.51
Free Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Columbia University Press. hardcover. Good. 6.3x1.3x9.3. Buy with confidence. Excellent Customer Service & Return policy.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$34.51
Free Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • New
Condition
New
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
5
Seller
GreatBookPrices
Item price
A$34.66
A$5.85 Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
new.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$34.66
A$5.85 Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
Condition
New
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
5
Seller
GreatBookPrices
Item price
A$37.91
A$5.85 Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
like new.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$37.91
A$5.85 Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
  • Very good
  • Hardback
Condition
Very good
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
Webster's Bookstore Cafe
Biblio Top Seller
Item price
A$38.15
A$8.05 Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Columbia University Press, 8/3/2021 12:00:01 AM. hardcover. Very Good. 1.1811 in x 9.5276 in x 6.5354 in. Mild general wear to dust jacket. Internally clean and bright.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$38.15
A$8.05 Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Aubrey Clayton

  • New
  • Hardback
Condition
New
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
10
Seller
The Saint Bookstore
Biblio Top Seller
Item price
A$52.21
A$19.30 Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Hardback. New. Aubrey Clayton traces the history of the flaw that underlies modern statistics, beginning with the seventeenth-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Ranging across math, philosophy, and culture, Bernoulli's Fallacy explains why something has gone wrong with how we use data-and how to fix it.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$52.21
A$19.30 Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • New
  • Hardback
  • first
Condition
New
Edition
1
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
6
Seller
Ergodebooks
Item price
A$40.52
Free Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
Columbia University Press, 2021-08-03. 1. hardcover. New. 6.25x1.25x9.25. Buy with confidence. Excellent Customer Service & Return policy.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$40.52
Free Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

by Clayton, Aubrey

  • Used
  • Good
  • Hardback
Condition
Good
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
Bonita
Item price
A$63.94
Free Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
hardcover. Good. Access codes and supplements are not guaranteed with used items. May be an ex-library book.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$63.94
Free Delivery to USA
Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
Stock photo: cover may vary

Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science

  • New
  • Hardback
Condition
New
Binding
Hardcover
ISBN 10 / ISBN 13
9780231199940 / 0231199945
Quantity available
1
Seller
Cold Books
Item price
A$75.19
A$5.85 Delivery to USA

Show details

Description:
. Hardback. New.
Add to wish list
Item price
A$75.19
A$5.85 Delivery to USA
Show all copies
Back to top↑

Please wait a moment while we load the requested page.